Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Shevchenko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When examining second serve performance over the last six months, Bellucci has won 43.46% of points, whereas Shevchenko has achieved a slightly higher win rate of 45.36%. Could this give Shevchenko a slight edge?
• Analysing return game statistics, Bellucci has secured 42.54% of second serve return points, compared to Shevchenko's 47.69%, suggesting a stronger return game for Shevchenko.
• On first serve returns, Bellucci achieved 25.2% whereas Shevchenko had a slight advantage with 26.73%.
• Under pressure, Bellucci has saved 55.16% of breakpoints, while Shevchenko's rate is slightly less at 53.96%, indicating Bellucci may handle high-stakes moments a bit better.
• Over the past year, Bellucci has won 52.86% of matches, outperforming Shevchenko's 47.83% win rate.
• Bellucci excels on Hard courts with a 66% win rate, whereas Shevchenko's strength lies on Clay courts with a 62% win rate.
• On the Main tour within the last year, Bellucci has a better match-winning percentage, with 57.69% compared to Shevchenko's 39.29%.
• When considering opponent ranking, Bellucci's opponents have an average rank of 175.93, which is lower than Shevchenko's 149.65, potentially indicating tougher competition for Shevchenko.
• In deciding sets, Shevchenko leads with 64% victories compared to Bellucci's 42%, making Shevchenko more likely to hold their nerve in crucial situations.
• Regarding break point conversion rates, Shevchenko converts 36.71% of opportunities, surpassing Bellucci's rate of 28.68%.

Editorial Prediction (August 17, 2025, UTC):

In assessing the upcoming match, it's evident that Shevchenko holds several critical advantages. Her stronger return game, specifically on second serves, and higher break point conversion rate suggest greater effectiveness in breaking Bellucci's serve.

While Bellucci shows better performance in saving break points and a slightly higher match-win percentage over the past year, these factors may not outweigh Shevchenko's return capabilities and confidence in deciding sets.

Given these insights, if the match becomes highly competitive or reaches a deciding set, Shevchenko might have the decisive edge. Thus, Shevchenko appears to be the more favorable choice to win the upcoming tennis match.